Looks like my cuzzies in the Haua Hoki Party are running Hone close. It really depends on whether they bother to vote or not. Only 63% voted in Tai Tokerau last time and as this is a by-election the turnout is likely to be under 50%. In other words Haua Hoki means, "I don't know if I'll bother." Let's hope they do bother. It's no use not voting and then complaining about the result after. According to these figures therefore it's a shoo in for Hone unless my cuzzies get their A into G and vote. He might still get in however depending on who they vote for but the result won't be as the French say a fait accompli.
There has been some comment about the negative effects Hone's whanau are having on the possible outcome especially what happened at the Maori Party meeting at Te Tii Marae, Waitangi and what happened at my home town Kaitaia outside the Dalmation Hall as the Maori Party were going in to have their hui. However by election day it will be forgotten; provided it's not repeated in any dramatic form. The Labor % is not impressive; only 11%. They need at least half of the Haua Hokis. They have not polled as well as I thought after getting some good vibes on my last trip home. As far as Horomona Tipene is concerned he and the party have an up hill battle. Of those in the running he is the least known although not in the north. Also he has a very short time to impress the electorate. I think it's too late for him.
So who would you have voted for had you been living at home, Atihana? Eerr. Haua hoki!
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